Abstract：Safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries are surging, while equities face mounting pressure. As this pivotal moment approaches, how will the market react?
Global markets are on edge as investors await the upcoming tariff policy announcement. This decision could reshape trade dynamics and trigger short-term volatility.
The U.S. government is considering a broad tariff hike, with a final decision expected on April 2. This uncertainty has fueled risk aversion, driving gold prices past $3,100 to a new record high.
Silver and copper also saw strong gains, while European stocks tumbled. In the U.S., the three major stock indices initially suffered heavy losses, with the S&P 500 hitting its lowest level since last September, particularly impacting tech stocks.
However, a better-than-expected Chicago PMI report later helped the market recover slightly.
Meanwhile, energy markets reacted sharply to trade tensions. Crude oil prices soared over 3% on Monday, reaching a three-week high. Capital flows show a clear preference for safe-haven assets, as investors turn to gold, the Japanese yen, and U.S. Treasuries amid growing uncertainty.
Where Is the Market Headed?
With policy decisions imminent, short-term market fluctuations are likely to persist. Safe-haven assets such as gold may continue their upward momentum, while equities remain vulnerable to uncertainty.
Additionally, recent hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials highlight persistent inflation risks, suggesting that rate cuts may not come as soon as expected. This could reshape market expectations and impact capital flows.
Overall, the market is facing a critical test. Investors should closely monitor policy developments, economic data, and shifting market sentiment to adjust their strategies accordingly. Navigating this period with a clear understanding of trends and a rational approach will be key to weathering market volatility.
